SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Fleetwood Town | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Liverpool | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Everton | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 56.8%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.36%) and 0-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Everton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Everton.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Everton |
21.8% ( 0) | 21.4% ( 0.02) | 56.8% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.81% ( -0.08) | 38.18% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.54% ( -0.09) | 60.45% ( 0.09) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( -0.04) | 30.87% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.84% ( -0.05) | 67.15% ( 0.05) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.67% ( -0.03) | 13.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.81% ( -0.07) | 40.18% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Everton |
| 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.78% Total : 21.8% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.83% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 56.8% |
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