Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
