Oxford Utd
3 - 2
MK Dons

Taylor (6'), Long (58'), Shodipo (88')
Henry (45+4'), Taylor (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jerome (11'), Gladwin (90+2')
Kasumu (19'), Houghton (37'), Lewington (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	MK Dons
46.03%	25.98%	27.99%

Both teams to score 51.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.39%

52.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.74%

74.26%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.18%

22.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.46%

56.54%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.45%

33.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.81%

70.19%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 46.02%

MK Dons 27.99%

Draw 25.98%

Oxford United	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.08% Total : 46.02%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.66% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.99%