Sunderland have won five of the last six competitive meetings with Plymouth, but with the Pilgrims boasting an impressive home record in League One this season, we think that the visitors will have to settle for a point on Monday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
