Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
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