SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Peterborough United |
28.6% ( 0.01) | 26.49% ( -0) | 44.91% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.72% ( 0.01) | 54.28% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.32% ( 0) | 75.68% ( -0) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% ( 0.01) | 33.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.36% ( 0.01) | 70.64% ( -0) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% | 24.07% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.64% ( -0) | 58.36% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.6% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.18% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 11.64% 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 8.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.63% Total : 44.9% |
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