Portsmouth have proven to be a tough team to beat under John Mousinho, and after making a steady start to the campaign, we think that they will claim their first league win of the season against newly-promoted Leyton Orient.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
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