Although Oxford are currently enduring a lengthy winless run, four of their last five matches have ended all square, and we think they will play out another draw when they face a Pompey side that have had to settle for a point in each of their previous three games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.66) 
-0.1) 
