Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 11.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
-1.16) 
0.58) 
