Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
