Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 16.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Portsmouth
16.82% ( 2.09)	21.71% ( 1.21)	61.48% ( -3.3)

Both teams to score 50.01% (

0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.94% (

-1.3)

47.06% (

1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.7% (

-1.22)

69.3% (

1.22)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.7% (

1.97)

41.31% (

-1.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.17% (

1.7)

77.83% (

-1.7)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.21% (

-1.43)

14.79% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.94% (

-2.8)

43.06% (

2.8)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 16.82%

Portsmouth 61.47%

Draw 21.7%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.82%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.57) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.7%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 11.15% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 7.11% ( -0.75) 1-3 @ 6.29% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 3.4% ( -0.56) 1-4 @ 3% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.29) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.44% Total : 61.47%