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League One | Gameweek 11
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
MD

Lincoln
1 - 1
MK Dons

Mandroiu (5')
House (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maghoma (89')
Jules (39'), Leko (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 MK Dons

MK Dons will be determined to return to winning ways as they bid to move out of the relegation zone, but we think that they will have to settle for a point against a Lincoln side who are yet to lose a home league game this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawMK Dons
48.38% (-0.412 -0.41) 26.34% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 25.29% (0.364 0.36)
Both teams to score 48.15% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (0.073 0.07)55.67% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.059000000000001 0.06)76.82% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (-0.155 -0.16)23.05% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (-0.229 -0.23)56.87% (0.234 0.23)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.57% (0.363 0.36)37.44% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (0.352 0.35)74.23% (-0.348 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 48.37%
    MK Dons 25.29%
    Draw 26.34%
Lincoln CityDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 48.37%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Lincoln
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 5-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One


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