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League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
P

Lincoln
0 - 0
Portsmouth


Mandroiu (45+3'), Eyoma (90+2')
FT

Morrell (5'), Rafferty (33'), Hackett-Fairchild (56'), Pigott (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Portsmouth

Lincoln are yet to lose a home game in League One this season, but they have had a habit of drawing games with 11 of their 14 home league matches ending all square, and we think that they could be involved in another draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPortsmouth
38.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 34.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.15% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.85% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.39% (0.009999999999998 0.01)73.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)26.21% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.011000000000003 0.01)61.3% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)28.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (0.0039999999999978 0)64.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 38.64%
    Portsmouth 34.98%
    Draw 26.37%
Lincoln CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.64%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Lincoln
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-2 Accrington (1-3 pen.)
Tuesday, January 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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