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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stadium MK
CU

MK Dons
4 - 1
Cambridge

Twine (13', 36'), Watters (25', 76')
Kasumu (60')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Smith (82')
Okedina (42'), Williams (50')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCambridge United
47.93%24.11%27.96%
Both teams to score 57.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.29%44.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.93%67.07%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23%18.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83%50.17%
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54%29.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54%65.45%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 47.93%
    Cambridge United 27.96%
    Draw 24.1%
MK DonsDrawCambridge United
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 7.74%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 47.93%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 5.78%
0-0 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 6.91%
0-1 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 27.96%

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