Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
