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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
S

MK Dons
2 - 2
Stevenage

Darling (34'), Watters (76')
Baldwin (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barry (70'), List (73')
J (40')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between MK Dons and Stevenage.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawStevenage
39.32%25.5%35.18%
Both teams to score 55.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.93%48.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.77%70.23%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88%24.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57%58.43%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59%26.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42%61.58%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 39.32%
    Stevenage 35.18%
    Draw 25.5%
MK DonsDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.06%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 39.32%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.37%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.48%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 35.18%


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