SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 49.07% | 25.75% | 25.18% |
| Both teams to score 49.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% | 53.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% | 75.05% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% | 21.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.93% | 55.07% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.63% | 36.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.85% | 73.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.03% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.18% |
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