Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
