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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2021 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
OU

Crewe
0 - 6
Oxford Utd


Beckles (87')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Ruffels (37'), Henry (40'), Moore (45+2'), Barker (47'), Brannagan (50'), Winnall (84')
Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawOxford United
33.7%26.28%40.02%
Both teams to score 52.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.33%51.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55%73.45%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94%29.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03%64.96%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61%25.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.81%60.19%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 33.7%
    Oxford United 40.01%
    Draw 26.27%
Crewe AlexandraDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.7%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.38%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 6.93%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.42%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.01%

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