Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
