Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
