Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
