SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Oxford United |
31.25% ( 0.01) | 26.73% ( -0) | 42.03% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.88% ( 0.01) | 54.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% ( 0.01) | 75.54% ( -0) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.07% ( 0.01) | 31.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.62% ( 0.01) | 68.39% ( -0.01) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( 0) | 25.44% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.73% ( 0) | 60.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.25% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.03% |
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