While neither side have been in great form coming into this match, Oxford have picked up almost double the points of Fleetwood this season and are favourites to win this game.
The visitors have won one game away from home since November - with a 2-0 victory against Bristol Rovers in February - while they have failed to win away against Oxford United since 2018.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
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