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League One | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
OU

Stevenage
1 - 3
Oxford Utd

Reid (15')
Butler (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Leigh (23', 55'), Moore (82')
Moore (45+4'), Beadle (90+5')
Coverage of the League One clash between Stevenage and Oxford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawOxford United
43.39% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 26.52% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.1% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.9% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)53.69% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82% (-0.012 -0.01)75.18% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.56% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)59.05% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)32.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94% (-0.02 -0.02)69.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 43.38%
    Oxford United 30.1%
    Draw 26.51%
StevenageDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 43.38%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.1%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-2 Carlisle
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Stevenage (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, September 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Stevenage (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-3 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, September 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Charlton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One


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