Entertainment has been thin on the ground in Cambridge's matches this season, as 12 of their 16 games in League One have seen two goals or fewer scored.
In an intense local derby, it is unlikely to produce many goals either, but a narrow win for promotion chasing Peterborough is the most likely outcome.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
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