SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Peterborough United |
31.78% ( -0.45) | 24.9% ( -0.2) | 43.32% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.75% ( 0.73) | 46.25% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.46% ( 0.68) | 68.55% ( -0.68) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( 0.07) | 27.63% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.84% ( 0.09) | 63.16% ( -0.09) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( 0.61) | 21.38% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.64% ( 0.93) | 54.36% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.78% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.32% |
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