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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
CU

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Cambridge

Walker (10'), Oshilaja (31')
Baah (53'), Bennett (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Cambridge United

Burton Albion have looked a much-improved side in recent weeks, but Cambridge United have picked up some decent results this season, drawing at Derby County in their last away match. As such, we expect the spoils to be shared on Monday in what is likely to be a closely-contested game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
42.41% (0.7 0.7) 26.83% (0.25 0.25) 30.76% (-0.951 -0.95)
Both teams to score 50.23% (-1.149 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (-1.294 -1.29)54.68% (1.293 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.99% (-1.084 -1.08)76.01% (1.082 1.08)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)25.5% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (-0.307 -0.31)60.35% (0.305 0.31)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-1.335 -1.34)32.57% (1.331 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-1.523 -1.52)69.1% (1.521 1.52)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 42.4%
    Cambridge United 30.76%
    Draw 26.83%
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.49 0.49)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.409 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Wigan
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Everton U21s
Tuesday, September 26 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Burton Albion
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-4 Barnsley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, September 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Reading
Monday, September 4 at 8pm in League One


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