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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Lincoln City |
59.98% ( 0.61) | 22.03% ( -0.23) | 17.99% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 51.31% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.49% ( 0.37) | 46.51% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.21% ( 0.35) | 68.79% ( -0.35) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.91% ( 0.33) | 15.09% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.37% ( 0.61) | 43.63% ( -0.62) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( -0.23) | 39.57% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.74% ( -0.21) | 76.25% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.43% Total : 59.97% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 1% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 17.99% |
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