SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
32.28% ( 0.04) | 25.72% ( -0.01) | 42.01% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( 0.05) | 49.65% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( 0.04) | 71.67% ( -0.04) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( 0.05) | 28.98% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.12% ( 0.06) | 64.87% ( -0.06) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( 0.01) | 23.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.51% ( 0.01) | 57.48% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.28% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.01% |
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