Although Pompey have won their last two matches, we think that they may have to settle for a point against a Peterborough side who would have taken confidence from their 2-0 victory over Port Vale in Ferguson's first game back in charge.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
