Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.09) 
