Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
1.02) 
-1.16) 
