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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
44.06% ( -0.06) | 24.87% ( 0) | 31.06% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.67% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.59% ( 0.02) | 46.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.3% ( 0.02) | 68.69% ( -0.02) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( -0.02) | 21.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.06% ( -0.03) | 53.94% ( 0.03) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( 0.05) | 28.17% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% ( 0.06) | 63.86% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.06% |
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