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League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
P

Exeter
0 - 0
Portsmouth


Stansfield (31'), Sparkes (79'), Collins (90+2')
FT

Dale (40'), Morrison (58'), Morrell (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Portsmouth

Two of Exeter's last three games have ended all square, while Pompey have drawn four of their previous six matches, and we think that the two sides will have to settle for a share of the spoils when they go head-to-head on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
31.98% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 26.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.45% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)53.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)74.83% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)30.99% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)67.3% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)25.36% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)60.16% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 31.98%
    Portsmouth 41.44%
    Draw 26.57%
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.98%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Exeter
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 19 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 3-2 Peterborough
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, December 4 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-2 MK Dons
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Ipswich 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Derby
Friday, November 18 at 8pm in League One


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