SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | MK Dons |
61.46% ( -0.23) | 21.62% ( 0.06) | 16.92% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.47% ( 0.03) | 46.52% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.2% ( 0.03) | 68.8% ( -0.03) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.38% ( -0.06) | 14.62% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.26% ( -0.12) | 42.73% ( 0.12) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.14% ( 0.23) | 40.86% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.57% ( 0.2) | 77.43% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 61.45% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.92% |
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