Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Portsmouth |
52.69% ( 7.12) | 23.5% ( -1.73) | 23.81% ( -5.39) |
Both teams to score 55.35% ( 0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.55% ( 3.39) | 45.45% ( -3.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.22% ( 3.15) | 67.78% ( -3.15) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% ( 4.22) | 17.22% ( -4.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.48% ( 6.93) | 47.52% ( -6.93) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% ( -2.46) | 33.14% ( 2.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% ( -2.81) | 69.74% ( 2.81) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 1.03) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.99) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 1.17) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.69) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.74) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.31) Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.69% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.88) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.87) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.49% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -1.47) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.95) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -1.11) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.53) Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.81% |
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