While Bolton managed to get the better of Portsmouth on Tuesday, Pompey are unbeaten in their last four League One meetings against the Trotters, and we think that they will extend that run by holding their hosts to a draw on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
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