MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 17:08:23
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Wednesday, December 25
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League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
BL

Portsmouth
1 - 0
Bolton

Marquis (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawBolton Wanderers
38.92%27.23%33.85%
Both teams to score 49.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54%55.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35%76.65%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25%27.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68%63.32%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15%30.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88%67.13%
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 38.92%
    Bolton Wanderers 33.84%
    Draw 27.22%
PortsmouthDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.92%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.56%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 10.06%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.84%

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