Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 66.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 13.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
