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League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
DR

Sunderland
1 - 2
Doncaster

Evans (89')
Evans (29')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Griffiths (22'), Rowe (45+2')

We said: Sunderland 3-1 Doncaster Rovers

Sunderland will hope that the removal of Johnson will bring about a fresh start after their thrashing last weekend, and we expect them to bounce back with a victory on Saturday. Both sides will look to rebound from damning defeats, but the Black Cats boast the stronger squad, and, with home advantage, they should cruise past the basement side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 74.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 8.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 3-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawDoncaster Rovers
74.27%16.83%8.9%
Both teams to score 42.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36%44.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99%67.01%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.57%10.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.99%34.01%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.16%52.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.45%86.55%
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 74.27%
    Doncaster Rovers 8.9%
    Draw 16.83%
SunderlandDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-0 @ 14.08%
1-0 @ 12.46%
3-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 8.98%
3-1 @ 6.77%
4-0 @ 6%
4-1 @ 3.83%
5-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.22%
6-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 74.27%
1-1 @ 7.95%
0-0 @ 5.51%
2-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 16.83%
0-1 @ 3.52%
1-2 @ 2.54%
0-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 8.9%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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