Portsmouth
2 - 0
Morecambe

Harness (11'), Ogilvie (77')
Hackett-Fairchild (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gibson (38'), McLaughlin (85'), Delaney (90+5')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Morecambe

Portsmouth should be looking at this clash against one of the division's lesser sides with optimism as they look to continue their revival. Morecambe have been a thorn in Pompey's side during seasons gone by, so it could be closer than some expect. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Morecambe
55.8%	24.13%	20.07%

Both teams to score 48.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.83%

52.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.11%

73.88%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.43%

18.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.17%

49.82%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.46%

40.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.86%

77.14%

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 55.79%

Morecambe 20.07%

Draw 24.12%

Portsmouth	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 12.67% 2-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 5.41% 4-0 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.16% Total : 55.79%	1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 6.8% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.07%