Although we can see Morecambe managing to score at the Stadium of Light on Tuesday, their leaky defence is sure to cause them numerous problems once more, and we are predicting a home win for Sunderland as a result.
The Black Cats are still playing far from their best at present, but they should possess the quality to see off their struggling opponents in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
