Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
