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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
P

MK Dons
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Eisa (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ogilvie (14')
Ogilvie (24'), Pack (26'), Raggett (54'), Bishop (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-2 MK Dons
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Forest Green
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-2 Portsmouth

Both teams will head into Friday's encounter in confident mood, but we think that playoff-chasing Pompey will have the extra quality needed to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawPortsmouth
31.1% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 26.61% (0.012 0.01) 42.29% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)53.69% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)75.18% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)31.81% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)68.25% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.81% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 31.1%
    Portsmouth 42.29%
    Draw 26.6%
MK DonsDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.1%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 7.63% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wycombe 2-2 MK Dons
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 MK Dons
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Forest Green
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Port Vale
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 Portsmouth
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One


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