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League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
P

Morecambe
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Shaw (36')
Love (72'), Connolly (90+4'), Shaw (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bishop (67')
Pack (15'), Mingi (90+6'), Hume (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth

Morecambe have collected four points from their two home games, and we think that they will pick up a point against a Portsmouth side who have drawn four of their last seven league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawPortsmouth
17.15% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 21.82% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 61.03% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.02% (0.145 0.15)46.97% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.78% (0.136 0.14)69.22% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (0.035000000000004 0.04)40.85% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (0.032 0.03)77.42% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (0.076000000000008 0.08)14.9% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.72% (0.14700000000001 0.15)43.28% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 17.15%
    Portsmouth 61.02%
    Draw 21.81%
MorecambeDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 5.45% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.65% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 17.15%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.81%
0-1 @ 11.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 11.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.27% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.33% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.98% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.27% (0.01 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 61.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Morecambe
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Barnsley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Hereford 1-3 Portsmouth
Friday, November 4 at 7.55pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 AFC Wimbledon (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 3-0 Portsmouth
Monday, October 17 at 8pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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