Millwall recorded a statement victory at Boro on Saturday and will return to The Den desperate to put on an exciting performance in front of their home faithful against League One opposition.
Reading will be happy to see the back of their Berkshire home for a few days after four straight losses spanning over pre-season and their third-tier opener, but we cannot see Selles's men being successful in the capital on Tuesday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
