Both sides would have taken confidence from their midweek cup victories, and they will now be looking to claim three points for the first time this season.
While off-field issues have hampered their recruitment, Reading can still field a strong side, and we think that they will have enough quality to edge out Port Vale on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
