Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
