Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.78%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.