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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Globe Arena
OU

Morecambe
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Wildig (14'), Stockton (25')
McLaughlin (42'), Fane (47')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Taylor (3')
Williams (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Sunderland
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Oxford United

Morecambe may have ended their winless run on Saturday, but they will be fully aware that Oxford will present a much stiffer test as the U's bid to clinch a playoff place. Although Morecambe will be buoyed by their victory over Burton, we think they will struggle to replicate that feat on Tuesday, and we expect Oxford to claim a league double over the Shrimps after winning 3-1 in the reverse fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawOxford United
27.28%23.62%49.09%
Both teams to score 58.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01%42.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61%65.39%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94%29.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03%64.97%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35%17.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74%48.26%
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 27.29%
    Oxford United 49.09%
    Draw 23.62%
MorecambeDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 6.79%
1-0 @ 6.34%
2-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.43%
3-0 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 27.29%
1-1 @ 10.99%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-1 @ 8.9%
0-2 @ 7.71%
1-3 @ 5.51%
0-3 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 3.41%
1-4 @ 2.39%
0-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 49.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morecambe 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 4-1 Morecambe
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 5-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 8 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-2 Cambridge
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in League One


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