Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 77.46%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 7.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 3-0 (11.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
